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Overview

Outlier Betting is an online service providing transparent real-time soccer odds allowing you to beat the bookies with their own numbers.

  • Profitable
    • In the long-run our tips provide a return on investment of over 35%. Although there are winners and losers and the overall return will fluctuate, because we’re always offering odds well in excess of the market average when winners do come in they outweigh any losses made.
  • Transparent
    • All odds ever identified by our algorithm are available, free to view, on our website. This includes winner and losers as well as the price and outcome of each.
  • Comprehensive
    • We are monitoring odds 24/7 across 66 bookmakers in the UK, EU, US and Australia from matches over 40 leagues and competitions worldwide. This means only the best of the best odd are selected and your returns are maximised.

How does our algorithm work?

The way our algorithm works is simple. We monitor thousands of odds to calculate the average or ‘market’ price for a given result. In most cases, bookmakers who generally rely on the same models and information price up the same outcome at a similar rate. However, now and again a bookmaker may either make a mistake with their pricing or may offer odds far higher than average to attract customers. We identify these odds and then circulate them to our users instantly so they can be taken advantage of.

What is value betting?

Value betting is a well-known betting strategy employed by punters to give themselves an edge over bookmakers. Bookmakers mostly price odds so they will always profit. They do this by basing prices on the probability of the given outcome and then adding a margin on top. This means that in the long run it is theoretically impossible to beat the bookmaker. However, value betting works by only placing bets where the odds are overpriced and therefore have a positive expected value.